The ABCD2 score may underestimate the short-term risk of stroke in Chinese population: A meta-analysis.
OBJECTIVES: The ABCD2 score has been commonly used to triage patients with transient ischemic attack (TIA) who are at high risk for imminent stroke. However, its accuracy in predicting short-term stroke risk among TIA patients in China remains unclear.
METHODS: All eligible studies published up to May 2014 were identified by searching Medline, PubMed, Embase, the China Knowledge Resource Integrated Database (CNKI) and the China Biological Medicine Database (CBM-disc), as well as unpublished articles manually scanned. The strength of the associations between treatments and outcomes was estimated by incorporated risk ratios (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using the Mantel-Haenszel statistical method.
RESULTS: Eight and 32 studies, which validated the value for predicting the risk of stroke 2 and 7 days after TIA respectively, were included. We calculated the RRs and CIs for 2- and 7-day prediction for stroke (low: RR=0.43, 95% CI=0.17-1.10, I2=0%; moderate: RR=0.42, 95% CI=0.26-0.67, I2=0%; high: RR=0.32, 95% CI=0.21-0.48, I2=0%; and low: RR=0.29, 95% CI=0.20-0.44, I2=0%; moderate: RR=0.27, 95% CI=0.23-0.33, I2=0%; high: RR=0.22, 95% CI=0.18-0.27, I2=1%).
CONCLUSIONS: This meta-analysis indicated that the ABCD2 score may highly under-predict the short-term occurrence of stroke after TIA for the Chinese population compared with the original model derived from Caucasian populations, which may lead to neglect of the short-term risk for stroke in the clinical practice....
Citation
Chu T, Yu W, Wang Y, Guo N, He J, Shao Y, Mang J, Xu Z. The ABCD2 score may underestimate the short-term risk of stroke in Chinese population: A meta-analysis. Neuro Endocrinol Lett. 2015 Jan; 36(3): 262-268